Defending Champions Lead After Chaotic Round 10

The penultimate round of the 2025 U.S. Championships saw both defending champions emerge as clear leaders after winning their games.

 

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Trophies
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Photo courtesy SLCC/Lennart Ootes.

 

In total, there were seven (!) decisive results between the two sections, clarifying the races for the top title but not closing the books just yet. Both GM Fabiano Caruana and IM Carissa Yip are only a half-point ahead of the rest of the field, making today’s final round crucial.

 

Open

 

Fabiano Caruana (L)'s victory over Abhimanyu Mishra kept his slim lead over Wesley So entering the final round. (Photos courtesy SLCC/Lennart Ootes)

 

Caruana, already the sole leader entering the round, won again to move to an impressive

7½/10. Yet his lead did not increase; GM Wesley So — his closest competitor — also won to keep his championship hopes alive. 
 

Mishra was up to the defensive task for most of the game, forcing Caruana to grind for a long time in the endgame before finally finding a crack. (Photos courtesy SLCC/Lennart Ootes)


 

Both games were squeezing, strategic wins from “equal” positions:

 

 

 

With their wins, Caruana and So are the only possible champions remaining. GM Levon Aronian, a full point behind So, is in clear third after a comfortable draw with black against GM Grigoriy Oparin. Funnily, their game followed Zatonskih – Yan from the 2022 U.S. Women’s Championship until move 18! The only other draw in the Open was Woodward – Shankland, where White built up a large advantage but couldn’t convert a rook endgame.

 

A strong win for Sam Sevian against Hans Niemann. (Photos courtesy SLCC/Lennart Ootes)

 

Although it no longer mattered much for the podium, there was plenty of fighting spirit in the remaining games. In Sevian-Niemann, neither player shied away from tactical complications:

 

 

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Liang
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Awonder Liang scored a nice win as part of a bloody round with seven decisive results out of 12 games. (Photo courtesy SLCC/Lennart Ootes)

 

GM Awonder Liang converted a space advantage against GM Ray Robson in a same-queenside castling Sicilian:

 

 

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Standings after 10
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Graphic courtesy of SLCC

 

Caruana will clinch the title if he wins tomorrow, while a draw is enough to win outright unless So forces a playoff with a win. The key games to pay attention to are Aronian – Caruana and So – Oparin.

 

Women’s

 

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Yip
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Carissa Yip took the outright lead for the first time in this year's tournament with only one round to go. (Photo courtesy SLCC/Lennart Ootes)

 

IMs Carissa Yip, Alice Lee, and Anna Zatonskih were in a three-way tie for first before the round, but only Yip managed to win. Both she and her opponent IM Nazi Paikidze braved complications in a sharp middlegame. Though there were ups and downs, Yip was never in danger of losing.

 

 

Anna Sargsyan is still within striking distance of first place in her first U.S. Women's Championship. (Photos courtesy SLCC/Lennart Ootes)

 

In the battle of Annas, IM Anna Sargsyan defeated former Zatonskih by building a strong attack, though the result could have been flipped if Zatonskih had found an unexpected win earlier in the game! With the win, Sargsyan leapfrogged Zatonskih to join the pack of chasers behind Yip.

 

Left: Rose Atwell and Alice Lee discuss a tense game. Right: Irina Krush is in striking distance of her ninth championship. (Photos courtesy SLCC/Lennart Ootes)

 

 

Lee defended well against consistent pressure from FM Rose Atwell, even building up a sizable advantage at one point. However, an endgame miscalculation relegated her to tied second. Also joining the three-way tie for second was GM Irina Krush, who took advantage of IM Tatev Abrahamyan’s overambitious KID:

 


 In FM Megan Paragua’s game against WGM Thalia Cervantes, Paragua accumulated a large advantage but missed a nice simplification resource by her opponent. WGM Jennifer Yu’s game against WGM Atousa Pourkashiyan was the only peaceful draw, despite the opposite-side castling in the beginning.

 

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Standings after 10
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Graphic courtesy of SLCC

 

Yip is in the same tournament situation as Caruana; a win guarantees the title, a draw at least a playoff. Her chasing pack is larger, though, with Krush,Lee, and Sargsyan all potentially in contention. Key matchups: Cervantes – Yip, Zatonskih – Krush, Lee – Sargsyan.

 

Finish Strong

This year’s event introduced a new Finish Strong bonus prize for the player(s) with the highest score from Rounds 6 through 11, with the $5,000 to be split between players in event of a tie. So far, in the Open, Caruana boasts an impressive 4/5 while both Sevian and So have 3½/5. In the Women’s, Yip sits on a ridiculous 4½/5. Her closest competitor, Krush, is on 3½/5 due to her Round 6 loss to Yip.

Editor’s note: my understanding is this is one prize total, not one prize per section, meaning that Yip leads Caruana by a half-point.


A bit of speculative history, if both defending champions manage to win tomorrow: for Caruana this would be his fourth consecutive (fifth overall) U.S. Championship title. He would be the first player to win four times in a row since GM Bobby Fischer. If Yip wins, it will be her third consecutive (fourth overall) U.S. Women Championship title. All the more pressure and excitement for the final round!


GM Daniel Naroditsky was one of my favorite chess educators. Even when I wasn’t the “intended” audience level I really admired his entertaining, well-explained videos and streams. He was kind, funny, and always humble. Rest in peace.


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